📊 EAM Deal Pipeline

Owner: Sara (Finance & Accounting) Last refreshed: July 24, 2026 Next refresh: July 26, 2026 Cycle: Mixed (4-day gap)
145
Total Prospects
2 ✓
Tier 1 Re-Confirmed
3
Removed (Pending / Contingent)
3
New / Re-Added
7
Corrections This Cycle

🔧 Corrections This Cycle

🚨 Urgent Alerts

🔄 Changes This Refresh (July 20 → July 24 · 4-day gap, task ran late)

🔴 66 Main Ave, OG — PENDING $799,000 🔴 605½ Fletcher Lake Ave REAR, Bradley Beach — SALE PENDING $1,049,000 🔴 145 Sandpine Dr, CSB — moderate-confidence CONTINGENT 🎉 1611 River Rd, Belmar — saga resolved, real listing $1,499,999 (T4) 🎉 508 Newark Ave, Bradley Beach — reactivated $1,175,000 (T4) 🎉 3150 Smoky Ridge Way, Sevierville — NEW T2-24, $469,900, 14.9% yield 🟡 3150 Smoky Ridge Way — T1 Candidate, verify address/MLS/income ⬇️ 123 Main Ave, OG cut to $1,225,000 (-5.8%) ⬇️ 605½ Fletcher Lake FRONT cut to $859,000 (-3.4%) ⬇️ 827 13th Ave, Belmar down to $1,649,000 ⬇️ 326 S 2nd St, Surf City cut to $1,799,000 (-10%) ✅ 5004 S Long Beach Blvd resolved to $2,499,999 ✅ 93 Heck Ave MLS corrected to 22610943 ✅ 149/290 Boardwalk Ave, CSB — flags resolved, both fine ⬆️ 6138 CR 30-A confirmed real increase to $899,900 ⚠️ 162 Cape Dunes Dr, CSB — escalated, absent 3rd consecutive cycle
Mixed cycle (4-day gap, task ran late — last cycle was 7/20). No pending #deal-flow replies to action. Both Tier 1 re-verified ACTIVE, unchanged (Tilda Hilltop's "$162,794 Jan-Aug 2026" figure still can't be found for a 3rd straight cycle — treat as retired). NJ Shore + LBI ran a full sweep: resolved the 1611 River Rd saga and the "North Surf City $204K" lead (folded into 4505-4507 Ocean Blvd), plus several price corrections. Smokies (high-bar-only scope) surfaced one promising but data-quality-flagged candidate. CSB (status-check-only scope) resolved several stale flags but escalated 162 Cape Dunes Dr and flagged a new possible contingent. 3 removals, 3 adds — net flat at 145 prospects.

🏆 Tier 1 — Immediate Action (2 tracked · both ✓ ACTIVE, unchanged)

Tier 1Active

307 Caney Creek Rd, Pigeon Forge TN

$1,425,000
8BR/8BA · 3,828 sqft · creekside · screened hot tub · sleeps 18 · MLS 311169 · DOM ~192
$220,000+ gross (2024 DOCUMENTED) · Yield 15.4% · DSCR 1.42 ✓
Re-verified ACTIVE this cycle, price unchanged. AvantStay was the prior PM. No 2025/2026 actuals in listing yet — large price point uses most of the down-payment threshold ($356,250, within the $400K gate). Capital recycling (BRRRR/refi) critical. 175 DOM = seller motivated.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311169 → Annie Maloney MLS#311169 →
Tier 1Active

3710 Tilda Hilltop Way, Sevierville TN

$1,389,900
6BR/7BA · 4,830 sqft · 2021 build · indoor pool + theater + game room · MLS 311326 (dual 1340483)
$160,000 (2025 DOCUMENTED), "on track" $170K+ 2026 · Yield 14.30% @ $200K est · DSCR 1.31 ✓ @ $200K
Re-confirmed ACTIVE, price unchanged. Two independent sources confirm "$160K Gross 2025, on track $170K+ 2026" as a forward projection, but the specific "$162,794 Jan-Aug 2026 booked" figure could NOT be re-verified this cycle — treat as unconfirmed. Down $349,750 is near the $400K gate; capital recycling plan critical before commitment.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1340483 → Annie Maloney MLS#311326 →

⭐ Tier 2 — Strong Candidates (18 tracked · 🎉 T2-24 added 7/24, flagged for MLS/address verification)

New 7/24Tier 2ActiveT1 Candidate

3150 Smoky Ridge Way, Sevierville TN

$469,900
MLS 312872 (unconfirmed) · Cabin, 2BR/2BA
$70,000 gross rental income (2025, DOCUMENTED) · Yield 14.9% · DSCR 1.365 ✓ PASSES STRONG
🚨 Would clear T1 outright, but the $70K/2025 figure and MLS #312872 were only found on the aggregated TN Smoky Mtn "income-producing cabins" index page — no live per-listing page could confirm the MLS#. A different, apparently older record for what looks like the same street address surfaced (2BR/2BA, $529,900, MLS #1300351/306378, now 404) — likely a relist at a lower price, but not proven. Capped T2 pending a direct call. Action: call TN Smoky Mtn Realty to confirm MLS# and income before any T1 promotion.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty income-producing cabins index →
Tier 2Active

712 Octagon Drive, Gatlinburg TN

$659,900
2BD/3BA · MLS 1347381 · 4.85★ Airbnb
$87,568 gross rental revenue (2025, DOCUMENTED) · Yield 13.27% · DSCR 1.216 (just under 1.25 floor)
Meets the T1 alt-criterion (verified income >$80K at <$700K) but DSCR sits just under the floor and the figure is single-year documented. Capped T2 pending a 2024 comparison year. If 2024 ≥ $80K → promote to T1.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1347381 →
Corrected 7/20Tier 2Active

147 Webb Ave, Ocean Grove NJ

$779,900
Duplex, 4BD/2BA, two side-by-side metered units · MLS 22533113 (🔧 corrected 7/20 — not 22611144 as previously tracked) · James Whalen/Shire Realty
Income basis $108K stated (pre-relist cycle, NOT re-verified) · at $108K: Yield 13.85% · DSCR 1.27 if it still holds
One of three EAM-primary Ocean Grove duplex plays — headline of the 7/16 cycle. Relisted at $779,900, up from the $749,000 last tracked (that cut did not survive the relist). Action: confirm current income basis post-relist, test offer $720-750K given repeated relisting history.
Shire Realty → Zillow → Redfin →
MLS Corrected 7/24Tier 2Active

93 Heck Ave, Ocean Grove NJ

$899,000
3BD/2BA, 1,666 sqft · Michelle Green/Jack Green Realty
No documented income figure re-confirmed this cycle
Re-confirmed ACTIVE, no flip this cycle. 🔧 MLS corrected 7/24: 22610943 is the live MLS#. The churning 22611144/22614209/22621776 numbers tracked in prior cycles were noise — 22621776 actually belongs to a distinct new nearby listing, 60 Asbury Avenue ($899,000, 3BD/2BA, 1,394 sqft) — do not conflate the two going forward. Given the flip history (PENDING → ACTIVE → PENDING → ACTIVE across prior cycles), confirm still-active status same-day before committing time to underwriting.
Redfin → Jack Green Realty →
Tier 2ActiveCapped

838 Bear Run Way, Sevierville TN

$799,900
MLS 308400 (alt 1316340) · 8BR/8BA, 3,424 sqft
$114K gross 2024 (DOCUMENTED) · Yield 14.25% · DSCR 1.31 ✓
✅ RESOLVED — permanently capped T2. Listing explicitly states "PRIVATE OUTDOOR POOL ONLY SHARED WITH ONE OTHER CABIN" — a paired-cabin arrangement, not fully standalone. Do not re-flag as a T1 candidate unless the pairing arrangement changes.
Annie Maloney Sevierville 8BR roster →
Tier 2ActiveT1 Candidate

2644 Overholt Trail, Sevierville TN

$584,500
MLS 312497 · Cabin, 3BR/2BA
$80,000+ gross 2025 (DOCUMENTED, single-year) · Yield 13.7% · DSCR 1.25 ✓ (right at floor)
Best documented-yield find in its cohort. Meets the T1 alt-signal but the "$80K+" figure is soft (single-year, imprecise) and DSCR sits right at the floor — a secondary AI-summary floated $76,264, unverified against a live source. Capped T2 pending exact figure + 2024 comparison. If 2025 ≥ $82K documented → promote to T1.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty Sevierville vacation-cabins →
Tier 2Active

2087 Kerr Rd, Sevierville TN

$875,000
MLS 1324469 · Cabin, 3BD/3.5BA, 3,960 sqft · DOM ~115
$122,000/yr projected · Yield 13.9% · DSCR 1.28 ✓
Indoor pool, theater, stone fireplace, crow's nest, lake access. 115 DOM = leverage available. Kerr Rd cluster — three comparable indoor-pool cabins on the same road (with T2-8 and T2-10). Multiple sellers = leverage.
RE/MAX MLS#1324469 →
Tier 2Verify Status

706 Falcons Nest Way, Pigeon Forge TN

$430,000
MLS 1261520 · Cabin, 2BR/2BA, 960 sqft, Eagles Ridge, creekfront
~$55-60K/yr estimated · Yield 12-14% · DSCR 1.23 borderline
Back on market as of a prior refresh. Not visible on Annie Maloney PF index this refresh — verify status before next Go/No-Go push. Hot tub, game room, all one level, creekfront.
Zillow MLS#1261520 →
Tier 2Active

413 Baskins Creek Rd, Gatlinburg TN

$315,000
MLS 311303 · Cabin, 2BD/2BA, near Gatlinburg strip, gas fireplace, updated, turnkey
Income not disclosed · Yield ~14.3% conservative (est $45K/yr) · DSCR 1.31 ✓
Lowest capital requirement among T2 (~$78,750 down). Near-strip Gatlinburg 2BR typically does $40-55K/yr. Yield holds even at the low end. Request income history from TN Smoky Mtn Realty before promoting further.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311303 →
Tier 2Active

223 Forrest Loop Way, Gatlinburg TN

$529,000
MLS 310212 · White Oak Lodge, 3BD/2BA, 1,600 sqft
Projected $75-80K/yr · Yield 13.9% (-5% haircut) · DSCR 1.28 ✓
Income is projected, not documented — apply year-1 ramp. Confirm actual income history with Annie Maloney before underwriting.
Annie Maloney MLS#310212 →
Tier 2Active

1726 Summit View Way, Pigeon Forge TN

$919,000
MLS 311350 · Cabin, 5BR/4BA, 3,110 sqft, mountain views, sleeps 18
$120,000-$135,000/yr (agent estimated) · Yield 13.9-14.7% · DSCR 1.27 ✓ (mid)
Listed explicitly "below appraised value" — seller motivation signal. Hot tub, large capacity (sleeps 18). Income is agent-estimated, not documented; year-1 ramp applies. Request income documentation — if $120K+ confirmed, fast-track to Go/No-Go.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311350 →
Tier 2Active

2079 Kerr Rd, Sevierville TN

$929,900
MLS 311172 · Cabin, 3BR/4BA, indoor pool, game room, theater, lake views
$131,333/yr avg (2023-25 combined $394,000, DOCUMENTED) · Yield 14.1% · DSCR 1.29 ✓
Request year-by-year breakdown — the 3-year total could mask a declining trend. Indoor pool is a +1 tier signal (off-season demand). Part of the Kerr Rd cluster (compare with 2083 and 2087).
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311172 →
Tier 2Active

2594 Windfall Estates Drive, Sevierville TN

$619,000
MLS 311365 · Cabin, 4BR/3BA, 1,900 sqft, 2019 built · DOM ~8
$52,394 already booked 2026 by mid-April · Est full-year $90-110K · Yield 14.5-17.8% · DSCR 1.33 ✓ @ $90K
$52K already booked by mid-April with summer peak still ahead is a very strong signal. HOA $133/mo. Hot tub, arcade game room, Douglas Lake Resort Association access. Call TN Smoky Mtn Realty for 2025 actuals — if $85K+ confirmed, fast-track to Go/No-Go.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311365 →
Tier 2Active

2083 Kerr Road, Sevierville TN

$889,900
MLS 311229 (corrected from 311213) · Cabin, 3BR/4BA, 3,960 sqft, built 2007, indoor pool, home theater
$354,781 documented 2023-25 combined ($118,260/yr avg) · Yield 13.3% · DSCR 1.22 borderline (indoor pool = +1 tier signal)
✅ RESOLVED prior cycle: the correct primary-broker figure is $354,781/3-yr via Annie Maloney; competing homes.com figures disregarded as stale/mismatched. 🟡 Data-quality flag: the usual tnsmokymtnrealty.com MLS URL now maps to a different property (Silver Mine Hollow) — aggregators still show this active, but not independently re-confirmed this cycle. Part of the Kerr Rd cluster.
Annie Maloney Sevierville →
Cut 7/18Tier 2Active

1716 Ridgecrest Drive, Sevierville TN

$390,000
MLS 310501 · Log cabin, 1BD/1BA, 720 sqft, 0.39 acres, 1993 built
$61,000 (2025, labeled "projected") · Yield 15.64% · DSCR 1.434 ✓ PASSES STRONG
Cut from $400,000 (-2.5%), which improved DSCR from 1.40. Meets the Tier 1 income criterion but held at T2 because income is labeled "projected" not documented. Hot tub, jetted tub, no HOA. Call Annie Maloney immediately — if documented and $55K+ for both years, fast-track to Go/No-Go.
Annie Maloney MLS#310501 →
Cut 7/18Tier 2Active

2350 Kerr Road, Sevierville TN

$684,900
MLS 311748 / 1340401 · Cabin, 3BR/2BA, 2,125 sqft, 2003 build, 0.70-acre LAKEFRONT lot
$100,000+ single year (DOCUMENTED, prior owner) · Yield 14.6% · DSCR 1.34 ✓
Minor cut from $689,900 (-0.7%). CRITICAL CAVEAT: income is stale prior-owner data — property recently transitioned to a new management company and current run rate is unconfirmed. 4th Kerr Rd cluster cabin (lakefront variant vs. the three indoor-pool cabins). No HOA. If current 2025 run rate ≥ $80K → fast-track.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311748 →
Tier 2Active

609 Cartertown Rd, Gatlinburg TN

$525,000
MLS 312282 · Cabin, 4BR/2BA
$74,000 (2025 gross revenue, DOCUMENTED) · Yield 14.1% · DSCR 1.29 ✓
Yield clears 14% but income is documented for a single year ($74K, below the $80K T1 alt-criterion) — need 2024 + 2026 YTD to confirm trend before T1. Request confirmation the figure is documented actuals, not a projection.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty income-producing cabins →
Tier 2Verify Income

162 Cape Dunes Dr, Cape San Blas FL

$640,000
MLS 328302 · 3BR/3BA, 2,008 sqft, gated gulf-side community, deeded beach access, gulf-view pool
CLAIMED (unverified): "brought in over $200,000 in gross revenue in 2025" · claimed yield ~31.3%
🚨 SKEPTICISM ESCALATED, stays capped T2 — absent from Cape San Blas Realty's own direct listings feed for a 3rd consecutive cycle (12 active listings enumerated directly, this address wasn't among them). Likely genuinely listed through a different brokerage entirely — do not chase without confirming which brokerage actually holds it. Per AirROI's 2026 CSB market report, market-wide average STR revenue is $46,653/yr and top-decile average is $146,352/yr — the claimed $200K+ would beat top-decile by ~37%, an extreme statistical outlier echoing the withdrawn 1520 Raven View Way claim. Do NOT promote to T1 or run Go/No-Go without documented owner statements.
Homes.com Cape San Blas → Forgotten Coast Realty →

📈 Tier 3 — Appreciation Plays / Below Threshold (29 tracked · 🔴 T3-21 Fletcher Lake REAR went PENDING, removed 7/24)

Tier 3Active

3328 Smoky Ridge Way, Sevierville TN

$1,425,000
6BD/7BA · Annie Maloney Sevierville 6BR+ roster, no MLS# captured this cycle
"GROSSED $155,891 FOR 2024" (DOCUMENTED) · Yield 10.9% · DSCR 1.003 borderline
Within the size threshold (~$356,250). Call Annie Maloney — get MLS#, 2025 actuals, 2026 YTD. Path to T2: income to ~$165K or price toward ~$1.35M.
Annie Maloney Sevierville 6BR roster →
Tier 3Active

309 Paul Lafollette Way, Sevierville TN

$769,000
MLS 1346856 · Cabin, 4BR/4BA
"$97,000 gross revenue in 2025" (DOCUMENTED) · Yield 12.6% · DSCR 1.16 borderline-fail
Path to T2: exact figure ≥ $105K OR price toward ~$715K. Request 2024 income for trend, 2026 YTD, HOA, STR permit transferability.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty Sevierville vacation-cabins →
Tier 3Active

3152 Hatcher Top Rd, Sevierville TN

$670,000
MLS 312491 · Cabin, 2BR/2BA
"2025 Gross Rental Income @ $76,264" (DOCUMENTED) · Yield 11.4% · DSCR 1.04 borderline-fail
Low capital requirement (~$167,500 down) is the attraction. Path to T2: 2026 pace ≥ $88K OR price toward ~$620K.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty Sevierville vacation-cabins →
Cut 7/24Tier 3Active

123 Main Ave, Ocean Grove NJ

$1,225,000
MLS 22607072 · Legal 3-family (per July 4 reclassification), 6BR/3BA
No income disclosed — est. $120K-$150K combined · DSCR (est $135K) 1.010 — right at the floor (improved from 0.95 at $1.3M)
Price cut 7/24 to $1,225,000 (-5.8%) — the 7/18 "firmed" call did not hold. Price history: $1,300,000 → $1,225,000 (6/24) → back to $1,300,000 (7/16, "firmed" 7/18) → back to $1,225,000 this cycle — this is the same low seen in June, likely normal listing oscillation rather than genuinely new seller motivation. Agent note (carry-forward): Jack Green Realty (Jack Green IV), not the previously-tracked NJ Realty Pros. Request rental history; assess whether the 6BR/3BA splits into strong STR units.
Jack Green Realty → Coldwell Banker Ocean Grove →
Tier 3Active

3709 Eagle Lane, Gatlinburg TN

$799,900
MLS 312360 · Cabin, 3BR/3BA
"Over $100,000 in 2024, $92,349 in 2025, YTD June 1 $33,400" (DOCUMENTED, multi-year) · Yield (2025) 11.5% · DSCR 1.06 fails at ask
Declining-trend flag: 2024 (>$100K) → 2025 ($92,349) is down ~8%; 2026 YTD-Jun suggests a soft pace. Multi-year documentation is a real strength but the trajectory needs explaining. Path to T2 if seller cuts toward ~$700K.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty income-producing cabins →
Tier 3Active

656 Morning Mist Way, Gatlinburg TN

$469,000
MLS 1344922 · Cabin, 2BR/2BA
"$61,741 in 2025" (DOCUMENTED) · Yield 13.2% · DSCR 1.21 borderline
Low capital requirement (~$117,250 down). Confirm the figure is documented actuals; request 2024 + 2026 YTD. Sub-$500K Gatlinburg documented income absorbs fast — move quickly if it confirms.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty income-producing cabins →
Tier 3Active

914 High Mountain Way, Gatlinburg TN

$549,999
MLS 312248 · Cabin, 1BR/2BA
"$60K in revenue last year" doc + "$75K median projection" · Yield (doc) 10.9% · DSCR 1.00 borderline/fails
1BR caveat limits group demand and ADR ceiling; $60K on a 1BR is already strong. Lower priority than 656 Morning Mist (more beds at lower price). Confirm whether a loft/bonus space markets as effective 2BR.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty Gatlinburg cabins →
Tier 3Active

808 Great Smoky Way, Gatlinburg TN

$899,000
MLS 312168 · Cabin, 4BR/4BA, 2,184 sqft · community pool + fitness center + game room (no indoor pool)
$134,019 (2023 actual) + ~$107,000 (2025 actual); mgmt projects $120,000+ for 2026 · Yield (2025) 11.9% · DSCR 1.09 fails at ask
Declining-trend flag: 2025 ($107K) is down ~20% from 2023 ($134K) — underwrite to the conservative 2025 actual, not the 2026 projection. Path to T2: price toward ~$760K OR confirm 2026 pace ≥ $120K holds.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#312168 →
Tier 3

20 Webb Ave, Ocean Grove NJ

$1,700,000
MLS 22533220 · 7-unit (1x 2BR/1BA + 6x 1BR/1BA), 3,815 sqft, built 1900 · DOM ~175
Fully occupied, figure not published · Est. yield 8-10%
175 DOM = motivated seller leverage. 1 block from beach + boardwalk + downtown Ocean Grove. Price appears unchanged. Verify income from agent — if $140K+, reconsider tier.
RE/MAX MLS#22533220 → Zillow →
Re-confirmed 7/20Tier 3Active

138 Cape Dunes Dr, Cape San Blas FL

$799,000
MLS 328033 · SFH, 4BR/4BA, 2,304 sqft, built 1984 · DOM ~97 (listed 4/14/2026)
Income not yet disclosed · Est. yield 10.6-12.5% (at $85-100K est. gross)
Price unchanged, seller financing 5.75% and HOA $500/yr both still referenced — confirmed via direct Cape San Blas Realty feed fetch this cycle. Metal roof (2017), hurricane impact windows, transferrable FEMA flood policy. The longer it sits, the more flex on price.
Coldwell Banker MLS#328033 → Port Realty Group →
Re-confirmed 7/20Tier 3Active

654 Seacliff Dr #4, Cape San Blas FL

$754,000
MLS 769468 · Townhome, 3BR/3.5BA, 3-story, Gulf-front · DOM ~502 (listed 2/27/2025)
Est. $70-90K · Yield est. 9.3-11.9% at ask
Highest DOM in the pipeline. Full cut ladder re-confirmed via direct Coldwell Banker fetch this cycle: $784K → $764K (3/17) → $759K (5/21) → $754K (7/1), -3.8% total — steady drip signals a stuck seller. Purchased $410K in 2021. Target $620-640K aggressive offer.
Coldwell Banker MLS#769468 →
Re-confirmed 7/20Tier 3Active

20 W 87th St, Long Beach Township NJ

$1,149,000
MLS NJOC2038206 · Side-by-side duplex, 2BR/1BA each unit
Est. $114K-$140K combined · Yield 9.9-12.2% · DSCR (base $127K) 1.013 borderline pass
No further cut this cycle — held at $1,149,000, still cumulative -$100K/-8% from the original $1,249K. Highest-leverage NJ/LBI watch item, approaching the T2 promotion threshold: another ~5% cut to ~$1.13M (nearly there) OR verified income ≥ $145K OR hot-tub-add commitment both units.
Coldwell Banker MLS#NJOC2038206 → Mancini Realty →
Tier 3

1003 Walini Way, Sevierville TN

$429,999
SFH, 2BD/2BA, 922 sqft · hot tub (2020), fire pit, mountain views · across from Soaky Mountain Water Park
Not disclosed · Est. yield 12-13% (at $52-56K est. gross)
Water park proximity = strong shoulder/off-season demand. Similar price point to 706 Falcons Nest Way. Verify income with TN Smoky Mtn Realty / Annie Maloney.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty → Annie Maloney Sevierville →
Cut 7/24Tier 3Active

605½ Fletcher Lake Ave (FRONT), Bradley Beach NJ

$859,000
MLS 22605226 · SFH FRONT unit, 3BD/1BA — was paired with REAR unit (now PENDING, removed)
Est. $68K-$72K (JN1/AST comp, -5% haircut) · Yield 7.9-8.4% · DSCR (at $70K) 0.747 fails in cash-flow framework
🚨 PAIRED-COMPOUND STORY BROKEN this cycle: REAR unit went SALE PENDING at $1,049,000 (see Removed This Refresh). FRONT now stands alone as a single-unit play — watch for the REAR fall-through before re-underwriting the compound. Price re-confirmed via direct fetch this cycle: $889K (original) → $859K (4/10 cut) → back to $889K (7/20) → back to $859K this cycle (-3.4%), same reversion pattern as the now-removed REAR. Fully renovated; near Fletcher Lake + beach; EAM operational familiarity (JN1 is in Bradley Beach).
Coldwell Banker MLS#22605226 →
Tier 3Active

411 Abrams Falls Way, Gatlinburg TN

$399,000
MLS 311904 · Cabin
$45,000 (2025 DOC) / $40,000 (2024 DOC) — multi-year documented · Yield 11.28% · DSCR 1.034 borderline fails
4.97★ Airbnb (top 5% Gatlinburg) with multi-year documented income at sub-$400K. Lowest capital requirement of any DSCR-close T3 (~$99,750 down). Path to T2: income to $52K OR price cut to ~$355K. Multi-year doc + rating is a strong package — test seller flexibility toward ~$370K.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311904 →
Tier 3Active

4250 Mountain Rest Way, Sevierville TN

$824,000
MLS 1338968 · Log cabin, 4BR/4.5BA, 3,192 sqft, 2007 build, Hazelwood subdivision, 1-acre wooded lot
$96,500 (2025 DOCUMENTED) · Yield 11.71% · DSCR 1.067 borderline fails
Promoted from T4 on a full property-page fetch confirming documented income. Airbnb 4.97★ Guest Favorite, HOA only $300/yr (best-in-class), every bedroom a master suite. Path to T2: income to ~$108K (DSCR 1.25) OR price cut to ~$725K.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1338968 →
Tier 3

742 Nighthawk Way, Pigeon Forge TN

$399,999
MLS 311374 · True log cabin, 2BR/2BA, Eagles Ridge Resort, 864 sqft, fully furnished
Not disclosed · Est. yield 12.5% (at $50K est) · DSCR 1.15 borderline (1.26 ✓ at $55K)
Heart-shaped Jacuzzi, screened hot tub, gas fireplace. Request income history from TN Smoky Mtn Realty — if >$50K documented, promote to Tier 2.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311374 →
Tier 3

2338 Jims Way, Sevierville TN

$400,000
MLS 311394 · Log cabin, 2BR/2BA, 864 sqft, 2000 built
Not documented, active STR permit · Est. yield 12.5-15.0% (at $50-60K) · DSCR 1.26 ✓ at $55K
Hot tub (partially enclosed), wood-burning fireplace, no HOA, new roof 2023. Request income documentation from TN Smoky Mtn Realty — if >$52K documented, compare head-to-head with 742 Nighthawk Way.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311394 →
Cut $10KTier 3Active

3210 Priscilla Heights Lane, Sevierville TN

$489,900
MLS 311406 · Cabin, 1BR/1BA, ~600 sqft · Airbnb Top 5%
$68,000 (2024 DOC) / $60,000 (2025 DOC) · Yield (2025) 12.25% · DSCR 1.123 fails
Income declining YoY (2024 $68K → 2025 $60K = -12%). DSCR still fails at current run rate even at the reduced price. Must understand the reason for decline before underwriting. Screened hot tub, fire pit, soaking tub, mountain views.
Annie Maloney Sevierville →
Cut -$24.9KTier 3Active

461 Sassafras Trail, Sevierville TN

$825,000
MLS 311461 · Log cabin, 3BD/3BA, 2,184 sqft, 1.32 acres, 1990 built
$93,000 (2025 DOC, primarily Airbnb) · Yield 11.27% · DSCR 1.033 fails in cash-flow market
Recently remodeled (new HVAC, LVP flooring, kitchen, appliances). No HOA, 1.32-acre lot. Would need a cut to ~$800K or lower to pass DSCR at $93K income; price negotiation or income growth are the paths to Tier 2.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311461 →
Tier 3Active

1256 Bear Cub Way, Gatlinburg TN

$1,250,000
MLS 1337739 · Log cabin, 3BD/4BA, 2,675 sqft, Chalet Village
$129,000 (2025 DOC) · Yield 10.32% · DSCR 0.946 fails (before HOA); 0.900 with HOA
Private indoor swimming pool, hot tub, mountain/Ober ski slope views. Down $312,500 is near the $400K gate. Best-in-class amenity stack but price is too high to support the debt load — would need income >$160K+ to pass at ask. HOA $283/mo adds further NOI drain.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1337739 →
Cut $10KTier 3Active

3106 Donegal Way, Sevierville TN

$630,000
MLS 311380 · Cabin, 2BD/2BA, 1,792 sqft, 2021 build, Paradise Falls Retreat (Wears Valley)
$80,000+ (2025 DOCUMENTED) · Yield 12.70% · DSCR 1.164 borderline/fails
Meets the Tier 1 income criterion ($80K+ at <$700K). DSCR fails at the minimum threshold; promotes to Tier 2 with confirmed income $87K+ OR seller taking ~$600K. Call Annie Maloney — get exact 2025 figure + 2024 trend.
Annie Maloney MLS#311380 →
Tier 3Active

1109 Autumn Path Way, Sevierville TN

$575,000
MLS 1334725 · Cabin, 2BD/2BA, 1,456 sqft
$60,000+ (2025 DOCUMENTED, gross rental) · Yield 10.4% · DSCR 0.957 fails
Documented income but DSCR fails. To clear at ask, need $70K+ income; to pass DSCR at $60K, price must drop to ~$500K. Probably watch-only at ask. Request 2024 income to validate trend.
Annie Maloney MLS#1334725 →
Tier 3Active

668 Stockton Drive, Sevierville TN

$849,900
MLS unspecified · Cabin, 3BR/3BA
$100,000+ avg over last 3 years (DOCUMENTED, agent description) · Yield ~11.8% · DSCR 1.078 fails
Strong income story but DSCR fails at ask. To clear DSCR, need either $120K+ income/year OR price cut to ~$770K. A 3-year average can mask a year-by-year trend — get the breakdown.
Annie Maloney Sevierville →
Cut -8.0%Tier 3Active

644 Gatlinburg Falls Way, Gatlinburg TN

$459,000
MLS 310014 · Cabin, 1BD/2BA, 1,404 sqft
$56,000 (2025 DOCUMENTED) · Yield 12.2% (up from 11.2%) · DSCR 1.118 borderline/fails
Cut $499,000 → $459,000 (-8.0%), meaningfully closer to clearing DSCR. Fully furnished, less than 1 mile to Gatlinburg Parkway. Needs $63K+ income OR price to ~$430K to clear DSCR. Request 2024 income + 2026 YTD booked.
TN Smoky Mtn income-cabins index → Annie Maloney MLS#310014 →
Tier 3Active

304 City View Way, Pigeon Forge TN

$899,900
Cabin, 4BR/4BA, 2023 build · PRIVATE INDOOR POOL
$88,500 (2025 DOC) + $50,000 2026 YTD · Yield (2025 doc) 9.83% · DSCR 0.90 fails at ask
Promoted from T4 — the 2025 figure now reads as documented actual, resolving prior projection ambiguity. Indoor pool = +1 tier signal. 2026 upside watch: $50K YTD annualizes to roughly $108K if the pace holds — if confirmed, the deal re-rates materially. Walkable to the Parkway.
TN Smoky Mtn income-producing cabins →
Tier 3Active

1325 Harmony Way, Sevierville TN

$1,395,000
MLS 311546 · Cabin/chalet, 4BD/3.5BA, 3,555 sqft, 2.83 acres, 2023 build, Serenity Woods (Wears Valley)
$154,000 (2025 DOCUMENTED) despite owner-occupancy during peak weeks · Yield 11.0% · DSCR 1.012 borderline/fails
Real upside: owner limited STR availability for personal use — full-STR scenario ($170K) gets DSCR to 1.117. 5.0 rating on 100+ reviews, transferable STR permit, EV charger. Down $348,750 is near the gate. Get year-by-year breakdown + agent's full-STR projection.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311546 →
Tier 3Active

417 Southern Sun Way, Pigeon Forge TN

$989,000
MLS 1340156 · Log cabin, 4BR/4BA, 2,445 sqft, 2024 BUILD, Heritage Mountain Resort
$108,000+ first 12 months (DOCUMENTED) · Yield 10.92% · DSCR 1.001 borderline fails (0.97 with HOA drag)
Best-in-class new-build amenity stack: private indoor heated pool, all bedroom suites with marble baths, 7-person hot tub. Airbnb 4.97, Guest Favorite badge. Indoor pool was the reason this stayed T3 instead of T4. Path to T2: income confirmation $120K+ OR price cut to ~$900K.
TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1340156 →
Tier 3Active

1016 Ravens Ford Way, Sevierville TN

$585,000
Contemporary cabin, 3BR/2.5BA, 2022 build · 4.95★ Airbnb rating · 3mi Tanger Outlets / 4mi Dollywood
$76,000+ (2025 DOCUMENTED) · Yield 13.0% · DSCR 1.19 borderline fails
Documented actuals (not projected) + 4.95★ Guest Favorite + 2022 construction + 52% capital efficiency — most comparable sub-$600K Sevierville finds are projection-only. Path to T2 at ~$545K OR $85K documented 2026 pace.
Zillow zpid 214898995 → Annie Maloney Sevierville roster →

✕ Removed This Refresh (July 24 · 3)

PropertyMarketPriceReason
66 Main Ave (MLS 22524311) — was T4Ocean Grove NJ$799,000Definitively resolved this cycle — direct Coldwell Banker fetch confirms PENDING at $799,000. Ends the multi-cycle price-discrepancy saga ($799K/$899K/$999K); the conflicting figures were likely just aggregators quoting different points in the listing's price history, not a data error.
605½ Fletcher Lake Ave REAR — was T3-21Bradley Beach NJ$1,147,000Direct Coldwell Banker fetch confirms SALE PENDING at $1,049,000 (the 4/16 cut reasserted itself). Breaks the Fletcher Lake paired-compound story — FRONT unit (T3-7) remains active alone.
145 Sandpine Dr — was T4Cape San Blas FL$350,000Moderate-confidence single-source signal it's now CONTINGENT — not independently corroborated; flag for a clean re-check if it falls through.
Note: 1611 River Rd, Belmar's 3+ cycle saga is RESOLVED this cycle (re-added as T4 at $1,499,999, a genuine listing distinct from the closed $745,000 sale that had wrongly anchored this address). 508 Newark Ave, Bradley Beach (removed 7/16 as PENDING) is RE-ACTIVATED this cycle at $1,175,000 — see Tier 4 table.

👁 Tier 4 — Watch List (72 tracked · 2 new/re-added 7/24 — 1611 River Rd Belmar (saga resolved), 508 Newark Ave Bradley Beach (reactivated); 66 Main Ave OG removed 7/24)

PropertyMarketPriceNotesSource
1611 River Rd — SAGA RESOLVED 7/24Belmar NJ$1,499,999The 3+ cycle saga is closed. A genuine active listing exists — MLS #22620011, 5BD/4BA, 2,469 sqft, Sackman Realty/Eric Magliacane — a separate MLS record from the closed $745,000 sale (MLS 22500931) that had wrongly anchored this address. The previously-quoted $1,590,000 figure could not be verified anywhere; treat $1,499,999 as the real current ask. No income data. Down ~$375,000 — notably WITHIN the size threshold despite the price (unusual for a property this size), but no-income + >$1M still caps at T4 per protocol.Coldwell Banker
508 Newark Ave — RE-ACTIVATED 7/24Bradley Beach NJ$1,175,000Removed 7/16 as PENDING at $1,250,000 (EXP Realty/Jesse Decker); back ACTIVE this cycle at $1,175,000 (-6.0%) under a dual MLS listing — 22613550 tagged Multi-Family 4BD/3BA + 22621012 tagged Single Family 4BD/4BA, likely a main-house-plus-rear-unit compound. No income data. EAM-operational Bradley Beach relevance. Would read as a T2-3 multi-family/price-cut signal but the Income Verification Protocol caps no-income/>$1M properties at T4 regardless. Action: call to clarify the dual-MLS structure and request rental history before any tier promotion.Coldwell Banker
500 Park Place AveBradley Beach NJ$1,650,000–$1,725,000Re-added & reversed 7/20: the 7/18 PENDING removal call is wrong — genuinely ACTIVE (direct Diane Turton fetch), but the $859,000 listing (MLS 22607331) was withdrawn and relisted at roughly double the price under new MLS 22607340. Same true 3-family, all 3 units occupied (~$84,300/yr in-place LTR income, documented). Now over the size threshold (was under it at $859K); yield only ~5.1% on the documented LTR figure.Diane Turton
208 4th AveBradley Beach NJ$2,799,000NEW 7/20. MLS 22506346, main house (3BD) + 4 rental units (8BD/5.5BA total), 3,815 sqft, built 1904. No documented income. ~16 months on market (listed 3/7/2025) — overpricing signal. Massively over the size threshold.Redfin
1202 D StBelmar NJ$1,849,999NEW 7/20. Two buildings on one grandfathered lot: front house 3BD (renovated) + rear 1BD apartment above garage, 4BD/2.5-3BA total, built 1903. No income data — reads as an owner-occupant house-hack, not a pure income property. ~22 months cumulative on/off market (2nd MLS#) — another overpricing signal.Redfin
534 Chickasaw Gap WayPigeon Forge TN$799,000NEW 7/20. MLS 312678, 5BD/5BA. Ambiguous income: "$113K in 2023" (single-year, dated) clears the 13% high-bar (14.1% yield, DSCR 1.30) but the listing's own "average annual" figure of $87,650 implies only 11.0% yield (DSCR 1.01 fails). No 2024/2025 figure disclosed. Held at T4 pending a clean year-by-year breakdown.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#312678
81 Mount Zion WayOcean Grove NJ$939,0003-family Victorian, built 1904, 2,442 sqft, MLS 22618983, 18 DOM. In-place LTR rents ~$37,200/yr combined on 2 units (one source states this plainly; a second syndication frames it only as "excellent income potential") — this is LTR, not STR, so it doesn't clear any STR yield threshold as-is. Track as OG multi-family with STR-conversion upside.Diane Turton | Neuhaus Realty
224 5th St #ABeach Haven NJ (LBI)$1,990,000MLS NJOC2035020, 5BD/3BA, 1,525 sqft. Steps from lifeguarded 5th St Beach, condo-conversion-ready. No documented income — "proven rental income potential" is marketing language only. No income + >$1M = T4 cap.Redfin
6 W 11th StBarnegat Light NJ (LBI)$1,999,999MLS NJOC2035292 (alt NJOC2034842 suggests a relist), 5BD/4BA, 2,342 sqft. Currently zoned duplex (convertible to SFH). No income data. ~1 year DOM = motivated-seller signal.Redfin
149 Boardwalk Ave — CONCERN DOWNGRADED 7/24Cape San Blas FL$599,900MLS 320661, 3BD/2BA, 1,656 sqft, Surfside Estates. Cut $25,000 from $624,900 (9/6/2025). Confirmed real & distinct from 110 Boardwalk Ave. No income data. The 7/20 "3 dead broker links simultaneously" signal appears to have been transient this cycle — Coldwell Banker and Fickling & Co pages are indexed and working again; still active per search snippet. Downgrading back to routine unconfirmed/no-action.Coldwell Banker
110 Boardwalk AveCape San Blas FL$515,000Re-added 7/16, correction of an earlier drop. 3BD/2BA, 1,458 sqft, seller motivated, priced below its own 2023 sale price ($587,000). No income data. Could not re-confirm active as of 7/18 (Redfin 403'd) — per the blocked-fetch rule, flagged for a direct check, not removed.Redfin
1102 Ocean AveBelmar NJ$2,750,000MLS 2561862M (cross-listed 22518838/22429846), grandfathered two-family (not a legal duplex), 8BD/4BA, 2,827 sqft, unobstructed ocean view. No income data. Massively over the size threshold (~$687,500 down) — awareness/comp-benchmark only.Redfin | Coldwell Banker
101 W 17th StLong Beach Twp NJ (LBI)$1,575,000MLS NJOC2043604, 4BD, 1,632 sqft, "bay block rebuild opportunity." No income data. At the size threshold ceiling (~$393,750 down).Redfin
268 N 14th StSurf City NJ (LBI)$1,750,000MLS NJOC2040170, 1,800 sqft, bayside duplex ($972/sqft). Unit bed/bath breakdown not independently confirmed. No income data. Over the gate.search-confirmed active, MLS NJOC2040170
109 E 28th StLong Beach Twp NJ (LBI, Spray Beach)$1,850,000MLS NJOC2041156, 6BD/4BA total, 1,824 sqft, 3BR per floor over 2 floors, marketed as a "multi-unit investment opportunity." No income figures. Over the gate.Marchese Team (RE/MAX | Century 21 syndication confirmed)
14 E 24th StBarnegat Light NJ (LBI)$2,649,000MLS NJOC2040844, 6BD, 2,016 sqft, off-beach duplex, 3BR/full+half bath per floor, parking for 8 cars. Listing references "consistent, substantial rental income" — no dollar figure documented. Massively over the gate.Trulia
326 S 2nd St — PRICE CUT 7/24Surf City NJ (LBI)$1,799,000 (was $1,999,000, -10%)MLS NJOC2042170, raised duplex, 3BD/2BA, 1,248 sqft. This cycle's research found this MLS# attached to a $1,799,000/per-unit profile, while a DIFFERENT MLS# (NJOC2043206) carries a $1,999,000/6BD/2,184 sqft whole-building profile — likely a per-unit vs. whole-building dual listing (same pattern as 4505-4507 Ocean Blvd). Tracking the matched MLS#/price pair; treat the $1,999,000 figure as the whole-building ask if relevant. No income data. Over the gate.Kable Team
4505-4507 Ocean BlvdBeach Haven (Brant Beach) NJ (LBI)$4,998,000–$5,250,000⚠️ Price discrepancy across portals persists (2nd cycle). Two oceanfront true two-family homes on one 100'x100' lot, 100' beach frontage — genuinely rare LBI inventory. "2025 gross income $204,190" DOCUMENTED, and re-confirmed 7/20: average 2022-24 gross income $177,000/yr (documented) — real actuals across a multi-year window. Massively over the gate (~$1.25M+ down) at either price — awareness/comp-benchmark only.Redfin | Coldwell Banker
1455 Honey Oaks WaySevierville TN$500,0002BR/3BA, MLS 312652. "2025 GROSS RENTAL INCOME at $49,975" (DOCUMENTED). Yield 10.0%, DSCR 0.92 fails. Small unit — watch for price cut toward ~$440K or income lift.TN Smoky Mtn Realty
2513 Look Afar View DrSevierville TN$615,0001BR/2BA, MLS 306662. "$70K YTD in 2025" (partial-year, full-year unconfirmed). If mid-2025 YTD, annualized pace could clear T3; 1BR scale caveat caps demand. Pending full-year confirmation.Annie Maloney PF roster
5004 S Long Beach Blvd — PRICE RESOLVED 7/24Long Beach Twp (Holgate) NJ (LBI)$2,499,999 (was tracked $2,549,000)✅ Resolved via a direct welcometohomepa.com fetch this cycle (MLS NJOC2040590) — $2,499,999 ACTIVE, no conflicting reads this pass. SFH, 5BR/3.5BA+1half, 3,104 sqft, built 1987 (not a duplex), no income figures disclosed. Down ~$625,000, blows the gate regardless. Retained as T4 awareness only.welcometohomepa.com
5 E Virginia AveLong Beach Twp (Brant Beach) NJ (LBI)$2,279,000True two-family, MLS NJOC2042624: 1st floor 5BR/1BA, 2nd floor 3BR/2BA. Quoted rents "1st floor $7,300/week in-season, 2nd floor $3,900/week" — a weekly rate, not a documented annual gross, treated as unverified. Rough napkin at ~14 in-season weeks + shoulder could plausibly clear $100K+ combined. Down ~$569,750, over the gate, but a genuine LBI true-duplex signal.movinglbi.com
832 Resort WayGatlinburg TN$797,0004BR/6BA, MLS 1344005. Documented year-by-year but stale & declining: $92,950 (2021) → $76,331 (2022) → $71,785 (2023) — down ~23% over 3 yrs, no 2024/2025 data. At best year: yield 11.7%; at most-recent: 9.0%.TN Smoky Mtn income-cabins index
2920 Raven Fork CircleSevierville TN$1,200,0006BR/6BA, MLS 312167. Income "~$125,000/year" (approximate, unverified); >$1M + unverified → T4 cap. At $125K: yield 10.4%, DSCR 0.955 fails. Down ~$300K (within gate).TN Smoky Mtn income-cabins index
1520 Raven View WaySevierville TN$825,000⬇️ Downgraded from T2 (T1-candidate). The "$225,326 in 2025" income claim was removed from both the income-cabins index and the direct MLS page (two independent fetches) — now reads only "strong income history," no figure. A 2BR comp est. of $50-70K implies yield 6.1-8.5%, below cash-flow threshold. Watch only; revisit if documented actuals resurface.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1343915
1446 Silver Poplar LaneSevierville TN$789,9002BR/3BA with private indoor pool on two lots (+1 tier signal on documented actuals). No income figure disclosed → T4 cap. Auto-promotes toward T2/T3 on ≥$90K actuals.TN Smoky Mtn income-cabins index
2024 Bear Haven WaySevierville TN$575,0002BR/2BA in Bear Creek Crossing resort with indoor pool, resort amenity access. No documented figure → T4 cap. Comps + indoor pool support T3 on ≥$70K actuals.TN Smoky Mtn income-cabins index
2449 Cedar PassSevierville TN$416,9001BR/1BA log cabin, "established rental program / books fill year after year," no figure → T4 cap. Sub-$500K Sevierville absorption watch — this band historically moves in 1-2 cycles.TN Smoky Mtn income-cabins index
535 Forrest Springs DriveGatlinburg TN$1,349,000Brand-new luxury cabin, 5BR/5.5BA, private indoor pool (+1 tier signal). ~$200,000 projected income — not documented (T4 cap). At $200K projected: yield 14.8%, DSCR 1.36 passes, but projection-only rule binds T4 max. If documented actuals ≥$140K confirmed, indoor pool auto-promotes toward T2.TN Smoky Mtn Realty income-cabins index
1154 Villa Overlook WayGatlinburg TN$949,9003BD/3BA, 2,044 sqft. $91K+ documented annual income. Yield 9.58%. DSCR 0.83 fails (HOA $232/mo). 180° mountain views, hot tub, game/media room. Path to T3: price cut to ~$760K OR income $108K+.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1338824
54 Olin St — STILL UNRESOLVED 7/24Ocean Grove NJ$800,000-$999,999⚠️ Mixed-use triplex, 2,587 sqft. This cycle: conflicting signals — one source shows $800,000 under MLS 22534904, another suggests "Closed" via a Zillow/Elliman cache; direct Coldwell Banker fetch errored (500). Ground floor commercial (engineer + deli) offsets carrying costs, no dollar figure given. Needs a clean direct-brokerage re-check next cycle.RE/MAX
78 Main AveOcean Grove NJ$700,0003-story mixed-use corner building, MLS 22606941. Gutted to studs. Get rehab cost estimate before promotion.Redfin
402 California DrMexico Beach FL$724,9004BR/3BA, MLS 315976, confirmed STR, "consistent positive cash flow." No income figure. Status unconfirmed. Get annual gross before underwriting.Redfin
1906 Buckeye View WaySevierville TN$469,900MLS 1335406, 1BD/2BA, ~$43K/yr avg over 3 yrs. 9.1% yield — below threshold. DSCR fails. Monitor for price cut.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1335406
1751 Mountain Shadows WayGatlinburg TN$415,000MLS 311111, 1BD/2BA, VRBO 9.8★ Guest Favorite, 365+ reviews. No income figure. Request from agent.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311111
1575 Sky View DrSevierville TN$560,0002BD/2BA, 1,412 sqft. In-home sauna, hot tub, game room, sleeps 8. No income disclosed. If >$70K, promotes to Tier 3.TN Smoky Mtn Realty
3922 Valley View DrPigeon Forge TN$679,999MLS 311307, 2BD/3BA, theater room, outdoor firepit, mountain views, 5-min walk to PF strip. No income disclosed.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311307
158 Cape Dunes DrCape San Blas FL$575,000MLS 328023, 3BR/3BA, hot tub, HGTV-featured. HOA $1,000/month = $12,000/yr — kills deal math. Monitor only.Port Realty Group MLS#328023
804 String Run WayPigeon Forge TN$685,000MLS 311281, 2BR/2.5BA, new construction (late 2025), game room. No rental history. Monitor 12+ months for actuals.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311281
2615 Bear Crossing WaySevierville TN$1,150,000MLS 311162, 2BR/3BA, 2,877 sqft, indoor saltwater pool + hot tub + game room. Listing claims "$91K+ since October" — ambiguous timeframe. Clarify income claim before any action.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311162
111 Parkside CirCape San Blas FL$637,900MLS 328088, 4BR/3BA, 1,895 sqft, HOA $375/month ($4,500/yr), Barrier Dunes. DSCR ≈ 1.10 with HOA drag at $85K income.Port Realty Group MLS#328088
290 Boardwalk Ave — CONFIRMED STILL ACTIVE 7/24Cape San Blas FL$999,9993BR/2BA, 1,489 sqft. Gulf/Boardwalk Ave location. No income data. The 7/18 "possibly off-market" signal is NOT substantiated this cycle — confirmed via MLS-number match across multiple sources (buytheforgottencoast.net indexed, juliacunningham.com), still listed at $999,999 via Rish Real Estate Group. One unrelated snippet referencing a "$650,000, price cut 7/9" 290 Boardwalk Ave does NOT match this MLS# — not credible. Requires ~$136K+ income to pass DSCR — unlikely for this size.Port Realty Group MLS#328117
6138 CR 30-A — PRICE INCREASE CONFIRMED 7/24Port St. Joe FL$899,900 (was $849,000, +6.0%)3BR/4BA, 1,702 sqft. Gulf-front. No income data. New MLS #772229, listed 4/21/2025, 147 DOM, Keller Williams Success Realty — the price increase, previously flagged as a likely stale scrape, is now corroborated across 5+ independent sources this cycle (Compass, Redfin, Coldwell Banker, Panama City Realty Group). DSCR fails at conservative CSB estimates either way.Redfin
131 Turtle WalkPort St. Joe FL$659,000MLS 326278, 4BR/4.5BA, 2,007 sqft. Townhouse community. HOA unknown — critical to determine before any analysis. No income data.Port Realty Group MLS#326278
2695 SR 30-APort St. Joe FL$759,000MLS 328095, 4BD/4BA, 1,759 sqft. New construction 2023. Bay views (NOT Gulf front). HOA $200/mo ($2,400/yr). No income data. DSCR fails at conservative $85K estimate with HOA drag.Port Realty Group MLS#328095
135 Las Brisas LnPort St. Joe FL$775,000MLS 328081, 3BD/3.5BA, 1,792 sqft. No income data. Conservative 3BR CSB estimate ($70-85K) → DSCR fails at ask. Monitor for price reduction or income disclosure.Port Realty Group MLS#328081
3227 White Falcon WayPigeon Forge TN$1,499,000 ⬇️PRICE CUT $1,575K → $1,499K (-4.8%). 6BR/7BA, 4,272 sqft, 2022 build, Eagles Ridge North Resort, private indoor pool + theatre, sleeps 32. $172,000+ (2025 DOCUMENTED, rental-only). Yield 11.5%. DSCR 1.052 fails (improved from 1.001). Most attractive high-income/indoor-pool T4 to watch.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#310722
2037 McCarter DriveSevierville TN$975,000MLS 309375, 5BR/4BA, 2,240 sqft. $100,000+ annually (DOCUMENTED). Yield 10.3%. DSCR 0.94 fails. Need price cut to ~$830K or income to $130K+ to clear DSCR.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#309375
1644 Pinewood WaySevierville TN$895,000MLS 308932, 4BR/5BA, 2,016 sqft. ~$100,000 annually (DOCUMENTED). Yield 11.2%. DSCR 1.024 borderline/fails. Could be Tier 3 with $110K+ income or sub-$850K price.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#308932
2012 Slippery Rock CircleSevierville TN$479,000MLS 310781, 3BD/2BA, 1,200 sqft. $55,000+ (2025 DOCUMENTED). Yield 11.5%. DSCR 1.05 fails. 3BD inventory at this price point is rare — monitor for price cut to ~$430K.Annie Maloney MLS#310781
523 Hoot Owl WayGatlinburg TN$374,900MLS 1315928, 1BD/1BA, 432 sqft. ~$40,000 Airbnb avg. Yield 10.7%. Tiny unit limits nightly rate ceiling. Lowest dollar entry in the Gatlinburg pipeline but narrow demand.Annie Maloney MLS#1315928
1129 S Spring Hollow RdSevierville TN$469,900 ⬇️MLS 1335311, 1BD/1BA + bonus sleeping, 791 sqft, 1960 (remodeled 2022), 0.5 acres. "Averaging over $50K last 3 yrs" (DOCUMENTED). Yield ~10.6%. DSCR 0.98 fails. Recent appraisal $530K = ~$60K equity at list. HOA $337/yr.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1335311
679 Eagles Boulevard WayPigeon Forge TN$660,000MLS 311607, log cabin, 4BR/4BA, 2,080 sqft, 1999 build, Eagles Ridge Resort, sleeps 12. Game room, fireplace, private hot tub. No income disclosed. PF 4BR conservative est. $70-85K → at $75K: yield 11.4%, DSCR 1.04 borderline.Annie Maloney MLS#311607
4827 Highland Place WayPigeon Forge TN$999,999MLS 310582, 3BR/3BA, 3,158 sqft. "$120,000 rental projection" — PROJECTED, not documented (T4 cap). At $120K projected: yield 12.0%, DSCR 1.10 borderline. Request 2024/2025 documented actuals before promotion.Annie Maloney MLS#310582
3856 Twilight WayPigeon Forge TN$995,000MLS 310613, 4BR/4BA, 2,308 sqft. "$91,000 rental projection" — PROJECTED. At $91K: yield 9.1%, DSCR 0.83 fails. Needs documented actuals at $130K+ or significant price cut.Annie Maloney MLS#310613
841 Golf View BlvdPigeon Forge TN$615,000 ⬇️PRICE CUT $625K → $615K (-1.6%). Duplex/condo, 3BR/3BA, 1,829 sqft, 2002 build, flexible lockout config. $65,810 (2024) / $61,705 (2025) DOCUMENTED, declining. HOA $640/mo ($7,680/yr) is still the killer — DSCR 0.74 fails badly.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1339465
2739 Mountain Preserve DriveSevierville TN$699,900MLS 1338466, log cabin, 2BR/2BA, 1,404 sqft, 2006 build. Markets "88.5% occupancy at $265.19 ADR" → implied ~$85,600 annual gross, treated as metrics-presented (not labeled documented) — T4 cap. At $85.6K w/ HOA $1,992/yr: DSCR 1.073 borderline. Private hot tub on dual decks, Crow's Nest loft.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1338466
459 Ownby CircleGatlinburg TN$750,000MLS 311764 / 1340462, cabin, 3BR/3BA. "$87,500 projected average" — PROJECTED, not documented (T4 cap). At $87.5K projected: yield 11.67%, DSCR 1.07 borderline fails.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311764
2044 Oakmont DriveSevierville TN$664,000MLS 1338978, log cabin, 3BR/3BA, 1,792 sqft, 2004 build, 1.3 acres, The Oaks subdivision. $65,000 (2025 DOCUMENTED). Airbnb 4.96★ across ~190 reviews. Yield 9.79%. DSCR 0.897 fails badly. No HOA. Path to T3: price cut to ~$530K OR income lift to $90K+.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1338978
2011 Ridgecrest Loop LaneSevierville TN$485,000MLS 311421, log cabin, 1BR/1BA, 1,100 sqft, 2003 build, Ridgecrest Acres. "Grossing around $50K per year" — calendar year unspecified, T4 cap. Yield ~10.3%. DSCR 0.945 fails. Sister-economics to T2-12 (1716 Ridgecrest Dr).TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311421
1440 Eagle Cloud WaySevierville TN$1,299,000MLS 310751, log cabin/chalet, 4BR/4BA, 3,492 sqft, 2021 build, Black Bear Ridge. "$150,000+ annually" PROJECTED only — T4 cap. Has HEATED INDOOR POOL (+1 tier signal if income were documented). Seller offering $5K credit toward title/rate buy-down — motivated seller signal.Annie Maloney MLS#310751
833 Stans RdGatlinburg TN$460,000MLS 1341255, log cabin, 2BR/2BA, 1,576 sqft, 1992 build, Tyrolea Sec 2. "Occupancy as high as 343 nights/yr, booked through January 2027" — strong implied occupancy but no documented income figure (T4 cap). At $69K mid-case: yield 15.0%, DSCR 1.375 ✓ passes strong. If $65K+ doc → T2 candidate.Annie Maloney MLS#1341255
1943 Elk Springs WayGatlinburg TN$649,000 ⬇️PRICE CUT $659K → $649K (-1.5%). Log cabin, 2BR/3BA, 2,306 sqft, 2006 build, Elk Springs Resort. "Proven rental history" — no documented figures (T4 cap). Monthly HOA fees (amount not disclosed). Theater room, hot tub w/ gas fire table.Annie Maloney MLS#311585
826 String Run WayPigeon Forge TN$988,000 ⬇️Log cabin, 5BR/5BA, 2,567 sqft, 2023 build, Fiddlers Creek PUD. $70,000 CURRENT annual revenue (DOCUMENTED current run rate). AirDNA $102K, third-party $125K projections. At $70K current: yield 7.01%, DSCR 0.643 fails badly. Path to T3: doc rate ≥ $100K OR price cut to ~$800K.Annie Maloney MLS#311565
1510 Ridgecrest DriveSevierville TN$350,000MLS 311872, log cabin, 2BR/2BA, 644 sqft, 1988 build, Hidden Mtn View Ext. Newer roof + heat pump + 2025 stain ($30K+ owner investment). No documented income (T4 cap). At $50K conservative: yield 14.3%, DSCR 1.310 ✓ passes. 3rd property in the Ridgecrest cluster, lowest-priced.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311872
331 Caney Creek RdPigeon Forge TN$578,900MLS 310802, log cabin, 2BR/2BA, 1,664 sqft, 2003 build, Falling Waters, not in flood zone, no HOA. "Proven income producer" but no documented figure (T4 cap). Same road as T1-1 (307 Caney Creek, $220K 2024 doc) — neighborhood validation is real. At $65K mid-case: DSCR 1.029 borderline; at $80K: 1.27 passes.Annie Maloney MLS#310802
2828 White Oak Ridge LaneSevierville TN$799,000 ⬇️Log cabin, 3BR/3BA, 2,106 sqft, 2005 build, The Preserve Ph 1. Recent $16K price cut (-2.0%). HOA $450/quarter. $100K+ recent renovations. "88.5% occupancy" but no documented dollar figure (T4 cap). At $100K: DSCR 1.110 borderline. Sister-subdivision to 2803 White Oak Ridge Lane.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1338461
827 13th Avenue — PRICE DECREASE 7/24Belmar NJ$1,649,000 (was $1,699,000)SFH, 5BR/3.5BA, 2,912 sqft, built 2007 — EAM-operational primary market. First price decrease after 3 consecutive cycles of rising ($1,649K → $1,699K → $1,699K → now back to $1,649K) — reverses the "continuing rise" narrative, worth a fresh look. Belmar 5BR comp est. $130-145K (BFC + AST blend, -5% haircut). At $135K: yield 8.2%, DSCR still fails badly in cash-flow framework. Down ~$412,250 — still over the $400K size threshold. Belmar appreciation overlay applies. Watch only.Coldwell Banker
3856 Ravens Den WaySevierville TN$699,000MLS 1342392, cabin, 3BR/3BA + 2 bonus rooms, 2,250 sqft, 1997 build, 0.86 acres. No HOA. "Currently on a successful short-term rental program" — STR signal but no documented income figure (T4 cap). No hot tub mentioned (amenity gap). At $85K: DSCR 1.114 borderline.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1342392
2803 White Oak Ridge LaneSevierville TN$579,000MLS 1342077, log cabin, 1BR + double loft / 2BA, 1,404 sqft, 2005 build, The Preserve Ph 1. HOA $450/quarter. Sister to 2828 White Oak Ridge Lane (same subdivision). No documented income (T4 cap). At $70K: DSCR 1.057 borderline.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1342077
268 Burning OaksSevierville TN$470,000MLS 1342269, log cabin, 3BR/2BA, 1,292 sqft, 2004 build. No HOA. Fully renovated, covered hot tub. STR signal: "gross annual rental revenue approx." but figure not disclosed (T4 cap). Sub-$500K price band signal — structural risk of absorption within 1-2 cycles.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1342269
229 Cherokee Path WaySevierville TN$415,000MLS 311925. >$40,000 gross both 2024 AND 2025 DOCUMENTED — rare multi-year actuals at this price point. At $42K: DSCR 0.928 fails; at $45K: DSCR 0.994 still fails. Saving grace: consistent 2-year documentation, uncommon in the current pipeline.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#311925
917 Wood Smoke WayGatlinburg TN$1,200,000MLS 312375, 8BR/5BA. "2025 GROSS RENTAL INCOME @ $102,763.74" (DOCUMENTED). Yield 8.6% (below 10% + >$1M → T4 cap). DSCR 0.736 fails. Big-capacity income asset but priced rich for the income.TN Smoky Mtn income-cabins index
336 Big Bear WayPigeon Forge TN$499,900MLS 312335, 2BR/2BA. "$45,150 in 2024 and $47,370 in 2025" (DOCUMENTED, two-year, rising). Yield 9.5% (just below the 10% gate). DSCR 0.869 fails. Saving grace: clean 2-year documentation + cheap entry + rising trend.TN Smoky Mtn income-cabins index
3738 Heritage Hills DrPigeon Forge TN$950,000MLS 1344842, 4BR/4BA, private indoor pool (+1 tier signal on fresh doc). "$134,019 in 2023" (DOCUMENTED but stale — no 2024/2025). At $134K (2023): yield 14.1% if current, but T4 cap because newest figure is 2023.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#1344842
1429 Mountain Ash WaySevierville TN$1,599,000MLS 312397, 6BR/6BA, private indoor pool (+1 tier signal on doc). "$110,000 on the books for 2026, projected to gross more than $200,000" — projected/forward-booked, not documented prior-year actuals → T4 cap. + >$1M.TN Smoky Mtn Realty MLS#312397
150 Lake AveOcean Grove NJ$1,800,000✅ MLS CONFLICT RESOLVED 7/18. 3-family townhouse-style (separate utils ex water/sewer, each unit garage + parking), 6BR, built 1987. MLS 22612117 confirmed as current (via RE/MAX, agent Gary L Huizenga) — the competing 22533340 is a stale prior cycle. Primary EAM market but OVER the size threshold (~$450K down). No income disclosed.Coldwell Banker Ocean Grove
18 W 7th StBarnegat Light NJ (LBI)$1,599,000MLS NJOC2042864. 2-unit grandfathered duplex, 5BR/2BA, 1945 build. No income disclosed. North-end LBI = low supply, strong appreciation market. At the capital ceiling (~$400K down). Key diligence: confirm the non-conforming 2-unit use survives a sale/renovation.soldonlbi.com

🗺 Market Context (July 24, 2026)

NJ Shore (Belmar / Ocean Grove / Bradley Beach)

Mixed cycle. 66 Main Ave resolved to PENDING $799,000, closing a multi-cycle price saga. 123 Main Ave reverted down to $1,225,000 (-5.8%, likely normal oscillation). Fletcher Lake FRONT cut to $859,000 as REAR went PENDING at $1,049,000 — the paired-compound story is broken for now. 827 13th Ave (Belmar) reversed its rising trend, down to $1,649,000. 1611 River Rd, Belmar saga CLOSED — genuine listing at $1,499,999 (MLS 22620011), not the long-rumored $1,590,000. 508 Newark Ave reactivated at $1,175,000 after its 7/16 PENDING fall-through. 54 Olin St still unresolved (conflicting $800K/Closed signals). 93 Heck Ave MLS corrected to 22610943. Highest-leverage calls: Coldwell Banker on Fletcher Lake REAR (sale price + FRONT buyer interest); eXp Realty/Jesse Decker on 508 Newark Ave (dual-MLS structure); RE/MAX on 54 Olin St.

LBI

Additive cycle. 20 W 87th St held at $1,149,000 — no confirmed further cut, still the highest-leverage LBI watch item. 5004 S Long Beach Blvd price RESOLVED to $2,499,999. 326 S 2nd St's tracked MLS# now maps to a $1,799,000 per-unit price (10% below the previously-tracked $1,999,000 whole-building figure) — dual-MLS pattern, same as 4505-4507 Ocean Blvd. "North Surf City $204K income" lead RETIRED after 6 cycles — very likely = 4505-4507 Ocean Blvd, not a distinct property. 20 W 87th St remains the single highest-leverage active LBI play — watch for the next cut toward the ~$1.13M promotion threshold.

Pigeon Forge / Smokies

High-bar-only scope. Both Tier 1 re-verified ACTIVE, unchanged (Tilda Hilltop's "$162,794 Jan-Aug 2026" figure now unconfirmable for a 3rd straight cycle — treat as retired). NEW T2-24 — 3150 Smoky Ridge Way, Sevierville ($469,900, $70,000/2025 documented, 14.9% yield, DSCR 1.365) — would clear T1 outright but the MLS# and address mapping couldn't be independently confirmed; capped T2 pending a direct call. Rest of the T2/T3/T4 Smokies roster was NOT re-verified per scope. Highest-leverage call: TN Smoky Mtn Realty on 3150 Smoky Ridge Way — confirm MLS#/address match before any promotion.

Cape San Blas / Mexico Beach

Status-check-only scope. 149 Boardwalk Ave's "3 dead links" resolved as transient — still active. 290 Boardwalk Ave's "possible off-market" signal NOT substantiated — still active. 6138 CR 30-A's price increase to $899,900 CONFIRMED real (5+ sources) — was previously flagged as a likely stale scrape. 162 Cape Dunes Dr absent from Cape San Blas Realty's own feed for a 3rd consecutive cycle — escalating to "likely listed elsewhere," stays capped T2. 145 Sandpine Dr shows a moderate-confidence CONTINGENT signal (single source) — removed pending confirmation. 654 Seacliff Dr #4 has a low-confidence signal of a price increase, conflicting with the established cut ladder — not acted on.